Acta Psychologica Sinica


Vol. 35 No. 3 , Pages 419 - 425 , 2003

Regression Toward the Mean in Psychological Testing and the Reoccurrence Probability of Extreme Scores (Article written in chinese)

WEN Zhonglin & HAU Kit-Tai

Abstract

The regression toward the mean and other related characteristics in psychological testing were examined. The relations of reoccurrence probability of extreme scores to the distribution of true score, reliability, and the cutoff value of extreme scores were also scrutinized. Results showed that the regression toward the mean effect is larger when the reliability is lower or when the cutoff value is more extreme. For normally distributed data, the reoccurrence probability is related to reliability exponentially and to cutoff values linearly. Methods to avoid the regression toward the mean artifact were also generally discussed.

Keywords: testing; reliability; regression; regression toward the mean; extreme scores

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